Sunday, February 20, 2011

Questions Continued: Western Conference


Western Conference *Note that I wrote this piece a day after the trade deadline, which saw a number of key players moved.

San Antonio 47-10: Can their success continue through the postseason? An amazing start from one of sports best franchises, I can see the Spurs running the table, but I can also imagine a scenario in which they fail to make it past the second round. Leading scorer Manu Ginobili is shooting 36% this month, Tony Parker can get abused on the defensive end, and Tim Duncan is having his worst season ever (albeit in 28mpg). This may be picking nits, but Dallas, LA, and OK City are all contenders.

Dallas 41-16: Are they really for real? We've been duped before. They're balanced and grittier than they have been in the past. They are also a balanced team, going ten deep every game now (add one more when Caron Butler gets back) Too bad for the Mavs that the Western Conference is going to be a dogfight this postseason.

L.A.L. 40-19: Have they peaked? Kobe has turned into late-career MJ, picking his spots and using his back down/fade away jumper to perfection. Pau Gasol is turning in another solid season, but needs to pushed and prodded every now and then to keep from becoming truly soft. Lamar Odom is having a career year, and outside of Kobe, might be this team's most important player. Their pg situation remains a killer weakness, and Andrew Bynum has the knee's of a forty-year old YMCA player. The Lakers are still an elite team, their path to the finals has only gotten harder.

OK City 36-20: Did they become legitimate contenders? With the additions of Kendrick Perkins/Nate Robinson and subtractions of Jeff Green/Nenad Kristic, the Thunder added size and brute force to go along with Durant and Westbrook. A frontline of Perkins, Serge Ibaka and Kevin Durant is pretty intimidating. James Harden now has the opportunity for more minutes and shots.

New Orleans 34-25: Where will Chris Paul wind up next season? Despite the Hornets great start to the season, the team has fizzled somewhat of late in large part to Emeka Okafor's absence. The Hornets have the ability to upset in round one, but will go no further. With what might actually mark the end of professional basketball in New Orleans, Chris Paul will wind up elsewhere next season -mark it down. The question is, where? Obviously New York appears to be the front runner, but don't count out a team like the Lakers or Magic.

Denver 34-25: Can they still make the playoffs? The Nuggets somehow escaped the all of the Melo drama in relatively good shape. Settled in at sixth in the West with a good chance of taking the Hornets fifth spot. This team can flat out run, and should look to do that in order to win games, particularly at home with the high altitude. While they may not have a superstar such as Melo, they have a smorgesbord of players that can score: Nene, Gallinari, Wilson Chandler, J.R. Smith, and the two UNC point guards; Felton and Lawson. I think they could be a scary team to face come playoff time.

Portland 32-25: How crazy has this trading bonanza been on a scale from 1- 10? An emphatic 11. No doubt. The Trail Blazers stole the anti-Vince Carter from the Charlotte Bobcats, getting Gerald Wallace. In return, Portland gave up Joel Pryzbilla, Dante Cunningham, Sean Marks, and a pair of future first round picks. The first rounders could come back to bite the Trail Blazers, but Wallace is a more than deserving investment. He's not a smooth offensive player, but gets his points the hard way. At 6'7 and chiseled like stone, Wallace is also one of the game's top rebounders, a defensive force, and gives an all-out effort every game. A front line of Wallace, Aldridge, and Camby with Niclas Batum at the two-guard should be able to pound teams on the boards.

Memphis 32-27: Did Chris Wallace make a good move? For once Wallace pulled off a logical move that should help the Grizzlies down the stretch. Shane Battier will help fill the void left by Rudy Gay's injury. He's also the ultimate glue guy that every good playoff team needs. A lot of athletes on this Grizzlies team could make for an interesting playoff series against a top-seeded team.

Utah 31-27: Has basketball in Utah been destroyed forever? No, it's barely hanging on, but Jazz fans won't quit. Who knows if Deron Williams would have left after this season (probably would have), and it was time for Jerry Sloan to go. I know that Sloan is one of the all-time greats, but the Jazz looked listless and lost the past two seasons. Change is not always bad. A core of Devin Harris, Derrick Favors, Paul Milsap, and Al Jefferson is certainly nothing to scofe at.

Phoenix 28-27: When will Steve Nash ask out? Instead of re-signing Amare Stoudemire to a long-term deal, cheapstake Robert Sarver opted instead to go with a pu pu platter of Hedo Turkoglu, Hakim Warrick, and Channing Frye. They also gave up promising point guard and potential Nash replacement Goran Dragic (plus lottery protected first rounder) for shoot-first point guard Aaron Brooks, who may or may not be a locker room problem.

Houston 28-31: What went wrong? They had little wiggle room this year, getting rid of Trevor Ariza's large contract, while at the same time re-upping underated Luis Scola. The Rockets are unathletic and in need of some more scoring options. Fortunately, they will shed more than half of their salary this offseason.

Golden State 26-30: Why didn't they push for the playoffs? Because their the Warriors, that's why. With a host of expiring contracts and a chance to get to the playoffs, the Warriors stood pat when they could have added additional size to help David Lee (Andris Biedrins is a waste case). They did add Troy Murphy, a former Warrior, but have no plans to keep the forward. Golden State has an opportunity to make the playoffs, a feat they haven't accomplished since 2007.

L.A.C. 21-37: When will the Clippers stop being a joke? That won't happen until creepy racicst owner Donald Sterling is escorted out of his position by David Stern. It really is unfortunate considering all of the potential this squad has now, not only as a team, but also as a draw around the league. For the first time ever, perhaps, the Clippers have building blocks for a successful future.

Sacramento 14-41: Has DeMarcus Cousins dissapointed us? I say no. He came into the league as a well-heralded head case with maturity issues. He also came into the league as a bona-fide center, and someone who should be a 20-10 guy by his third or fourth season. He has produced as a head case (being kicked off the team's charter), as well as on the court (he's averaging 15-10 this month). The mix isn't there right now. Everyone seems to dislike playing with Tyreke Evans, and Paul Westphal has no control over this young team.

Minnesota 13-45: True or False: Are Michael Beasely, Eddy Curry, Darko Milicic, and Anthony Randolph currently residing on the same team? Yes. Minnesota Timberwolves fans may be hurting this winter, but there are potential signs for improvement. Beasely can score in droves, and Kevin Love is a beast and one of the most under heralded exciting players to watch. Milicic, and Randolph more so, still have loads of potential. Randolph is an interesting case. Already on his third team in four years, he is an uber-athletic power forward with the psyche of a twelve year old. Plus, his face always makes it look like he is crying.

Friday, February 18, 2011

NBA's All Star Break Question Style: Eastern Conference



the league having played more than half of its games since the end of October, it is getting easier to discern which teams are contenders and which ones are pretenders, or just flat out jokes (here's looking at you Cleveland). Teams are in descending order:

Eastern Conference

Boston 40-14: Can they stay healthy? If healthy they are the favorite to come out of the east. Thankfully the Big 3 + Rondo are mostly healthy (Pierce has been banged up). It's everyone else who seems to be finding a way to the infirmary. Shaq is out past the break, Delonte West has been out since Nov. 24 but is coming back on Tuesday, Marquis Daniels is out for at least a month and possibly more, Semih Erden has been hurt and will need surgery in the off season, and Jermaine O'Neal has been in hibernation. Also keep in mind that Kendrick Perkins is averaging 27mpg while still recovering from ACL surgery.

Miami 41-15: Can Wade and James both play effectively against the elite teams? It took a while but the Heat have recovered from their early season slump to become the legit contenders everyone predicted they would become. They have struggled against the teams considered contenders, and it is easy to see what ails them; lack of a good point guard and inside presence. On top of being forced to start Mario Chalmers at point and an over the hill Zydrunas Ilgauskas at center, it remains to be seen whether Wade can play well off of LeBron James. During the three games against Boston Wade has shot 12/45.

Chicago 38-16: Will their weakness at shooting guard hurt them in the end? With Noah and Boozer missing significant time, Derrick Rose has stepped up as the team's alpha dog and a legit MVP contender. On top of the team still having to gel (a lot of new pieces on the Bulls this season) Chicago has one pee stain on an otherwise impeccable sofa. I guess the front office believed one of the three (Korver, Brewer, Bogans) could become a starter, yet each has struggled with something different this season.

Orlando 36-21: Has the big trade made them that much better? A trade was certainly needed. Having Vince Carter loaf or Rashard Lewis play like he's 6 feet tall would keep them behind the top three for good. Yet it remains to be seen whether this team is really that much better. Turkoglu's play is maddening, Arenas is more concerned with his pet sharks than his dreadful performance, and Jason Richardson is the definition of a high volume streak shooter.

Atlanta 34-21: Have they peaked? Josh Smith is going to become a free agent for next season, and it is looking like the Hawks may be stuck in no man's land. They are clearly good, but they are also not going to beat any of the top teams in a seven game series. Joe Johnson needs to become more consistent.

New York 28-26: Which team will show up for the rest of the season? A team full of streaks (both good and bad) this year, the Knicks lack depth and another big man to complement Amare. Raymond Felton is having a career year, but his shooting has been too streaky.

Philadelphia 27-29: Will they trade Andre Iguodala? AI 2 is still owed a significant amount through the 2013-14 season. His numbers are down from the past few seasons, but from what everyone saw with Team USA, Iggy can lock down opposing guards on the defensive end. He is also a fantastic fast break player and would be a great fit for a team such as the Spurs or even Golden State. Philly is an underrated team to watch. They have a lot of young athletic players.

Indiana 24-30: What is their identity? In the West Indiana would be behind 12th place Houston. Thankfully for new coach Frank Vogel, the Pacers can sneak into the Eastern Conference playoffs. Danny Granger is merely a scorer (nothing else), Darren Collison has been average at point guard, and which Roy Hibbert is the real one? The one who averaged 15 and 9 in November, or the one who averaged 9 and 7 in January. After these three, only Brandon Rush and Paul George intrigue me.

Charlotte 24-32: How much more exciting would they be if MJ came back for them? Anything can help this offensively challenged team. Seriously, I think the Airness could come back and be very effective playing 15 minutes per game. At 47, you know MJ was still bringing his "A" game when he practiced with the Bobcats earlier in the season.

Milwaukee 21-34: What went wrong? Perhaps the most disappointing season so far, I had the Bucks slotted in at the four or five spot in the East. Scott Skiles' voice can tend to fall on deaf ears after some time, but one year? Their best player - Brandon Jennings - is an erratic shooter and porous defender, and John Salmons is inconsistent from one year to the next. I also should of seen this one coming. Corey Maggette (a career gunner and nothing else) and Drew Gooden (a career knucklehead who has played for nine teams since 2002) were their big acquisitions.

Detroit 21-36: Is Joe Dumars still alive? Joe Dumars is never blasted by anyone for his bone headed moves over the years, particularly with signing Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva to crippling deals. Both have underperformed, but the writing was already on the wall. Villanueva is an outside shooter, best suited coming off the bench. Guess what? So is Gordon. Meanwhile, Rip Hamilton was literally shipped to the dog house a few weeks ago, diminishing his trade value in the process. They have no inside scoring besides underrated rookie Greg Monroe, and are a squad full of 2's and 3's and nothing else.

New Jersey 17-40: Is it worth trading the house for Melo? I say yes. The roster is a mess already. Brook Lopez seems broken down already, Devin Harris is up and down, and Morrow, Outlaw, Vujacic, and Farmar are too similar. Derrick Favors plays like a 19 year old with raw talent. Why not go for it and pair Lopez with Anthony; maybe try and lure Chris Paul or Dwight Howard for next season.

Washington 15-39: How relieved are they to be done with Gilbert Arenas? The Wiz can thank Orlando GM Otis Smith for taking the headache off their hands. Although they still have to pay the man, getting Arenas away from talented rookie John Wall and away from a young team was priceless.

Toronto 15-41: Can this team play less defense? They are ranked eighth worst in points allowed but are the worst in opponents field goal percentage at 48.4. After relying on much travelled goon Reggie Evans to shore up their front court defense, Evans was lost to injury after 15 games. Star center Andrea Bargaini can score a lot, but does little else, and that includes defense. Three key players - Derozan, Barbosa, Calderon - play "O-Lay!" on the defensive side of the ball.


I'm Sorry

Haven't posted in a long time. Busy with jobs + hockey games leaves little time for blogging unfortunately.